Sports bets can be quite profitable if an individual know the techniques this “smart money” gamblers work with to consistently make dollars. One of the greatest secrets that smart money bettors use will be knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a great case in point. I actually analyzed typically the Western world Florida vs. Louisville activity, and concluded the fact that West California had the particular edge in the match. Nevertheless , We also recognized that there have been a good deal of random and capricious factors, and recommended to my clients that they carry out not bet on this particular game. Here is my own analysis I released just before the game:

West Las vegas or Louisville

This game provides all the signs of being one regarding the best games associated with the year, using the two teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, each with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, using Western Virginia coming backside from appearing down huge in the independence day quarter to winning throughout overtime.

So what’s the adventure appearance like this year?

In case this sport were being played from a natural field, West California will probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since often the game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if www.ufabet168.info makes sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented roll. These people haven’t lost due to the fact Jan. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they misplaced to Las vegas Tech. Inside the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last being unfaithful activities overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their final 10 STREET games.

These types of are some very impressive stats that tilt the particular scales in favor regarding WVU regarding tonight’s online game. Plus, typically the added in reward is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This will likely not seem like quite a bit, but in a shut match-up this way, that excess point could make the big difference between a push and even a loss.

But what about Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling are really almost as good while WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their particular past 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS into their very last 10 home activities.

And even if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced at home since 12 , 20, the year 2003! During this latest run Louisville is averaging 49. some points each game at home, while averaging only leaving behind 15. 7 points each game on home. In case you decided not to do the math, that means considering their last home reduction they’ve averaged beating their particular oppositions simply by about thirty four details per game.

What’s more impressive, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten the range, on average, by means of 13 things per activity at home since 2003.

Wow… how can a person not in favor of that?

Here’s precisely how…

Many of those stats had been built up during the 2004 season. In 2010, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to great than great. They are yet to possessed recent games through which they already have only scored twenty eight, twenty three, 24 points. And the activities weren’t against Kansas Saint. or Michigan. They will had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

The end result is the fact that this is still the close game to get in touch with. Although what I look with regard to is West Virginia’s safety to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s virtually no purpose to think WVU can’t have one to this low to the middle of 20’s. My honest suggestion is usually to lay off this specific game and not necessarily guarantee at all. There are better game titles this weekend with more clear-cut advantages.

The final score of the game was Louisville forty-four, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to come back a good punt for a good TD. The bottom line was of which West Virginia’s edge had not been so big which they could very well still win immediately after generating so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this kind of video game, people serious regarding wagering saved money these people can offer better employ on approaching games.