Sports betting can be very profitable if an individual know the techniques the “smart money” gamblers use to consistently make income. One of the greatest secrets that intelligent money bettors use can be knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a ideal illustration. We analyzed often the Western side California vs. Louisville match, and concluded that will West California had this edge in the video game. Nonetheless I actually also came to the realization that there have been a whole lot of random and unknown factors, and recommended to a clients that they perform not wager on that game. Here is my own analysis I released just before the game:

West California or Louisville

This game features all the indications of being one involving the best games regarding the year, using the two teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, each with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, together with Western world Virginia coming back from being down major in the fourth 1 fourth to winning within overtime.

So what’s the overall game appear like this year?

In the event this activity were being played on the neutral field, West Las vegas would certainly probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since this game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented roll. They haven’t lost given that March. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they lost to Va Tech. Through the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last on the lookout for games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their final 10 ROUTE games.

These kind of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt the scales in favor of WVU for tonight’s gaming. Plus, typically the included bonus offer is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This could not look like much, but in a near match-up like this, that spare point will certainly make the distinction between a push and a loss.

But aceperhead.com may be wondering what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling are usually almost as good as WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their previous 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS within their very last 10 home game titles.

Together with if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in your own home since 12 18, the year 2003! During this current run Louisville is hitting 49. five points for every game in your own home, while averaging only letting go of 15. 6 points per game on home. In case anyone don’t do the math concepts, that means since their own last home decline they have already averaged beating their oppositions by about thirty four things per game.

What’s more amazing, the average line in these games has only been recently 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten often the get spread around, on average, simply by 13 details per video game at home considering that the year 2003.

Wow… how can an individual not in favor of that?

Here’s exactly how…

Almost all of those stats have been established during the 2006 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been closer to good than great. They have already got recent games in which they are yet to only scored twenty-eight, twenty-three, 24 points. These types of games weren’t against Oh Stycken. or Michigan. They had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.

The bottom line is that this is still a close game to contact. But what I look intended for is West Virginia’s security to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s not any reason to think WVU can’t hold them to often the low to middle of the 20’s. My honest professional recommendation is usually to lay off this game and not really bet at all. There happen to be better games this weekend break with more clear-cut strengths.

The final score in this game was Louisville forty four, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to go back some sort of punt for the TD. The bottom line was the fact that West Virginia’s edge weren’t so big that they may still win soon after producing so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this sport, people severe with regards to gambling saved money they will can put to better employ on coming games.