Sports playing is often very profitable if a person know the secrets and techniques the particular “smart money” bettors work with to consistently make income. One of the greatest secrets that intelligent money bettors use is usually knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a great case in point. I analyzed the particular Western world Florida vs. Louisville game, and concluded of which West Virginia had the edge in the sport. Nevertheless , We also came to the realization that there are a lot of random and capricious factors, and recommended to my clients that they carry out not guarantee on that game. Here is my own analysis I released prior to the game:

West Las vegas or Louisville

This online game has all the signs of being one regarding the best games involving the year, along with the two teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, both along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, together with Western side Virginia coming again from getting down large in the 4th 1 fourth to winning within overtime, however,.

So what’s the overall game search like this year?

In case this game were turning into played with the neutral field, West California might probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since the particular game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented roll. They will haven’t lost considering that Oct. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they dropped to Florida Tech. Through the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 PATH games.

These types of are some very outstanding stats that tilt the scales in favor associated with WVU regarding tonight’s online game. Plus, this additional added bonus is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. UFABET168 could not look like quite a bit, but in a shut match-up similar to this, that more point can make the variation between a new push together with a loss.

But some of us wonder what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics are generally almost as good because WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their very own past 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS inside their previous 10 home video games.

And even if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped at your home since December 17, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is hitting 49. five points per game at home, while averaging only giving up 15. 8 points for each game from home. In case an individual failed to do the figures, that means due to the fact their very own last home reduction they are yet to averaged beating their very own opposing team simply by about 34 things per game.

In addition outstanding, the average line in these games has only recently been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten the particular divide, on average, by way of 13 details per activity at home considering the year 2003.

Wow… how can an individual go against that?

Here’s the way…

Most of those stats were being developed during the 2006 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to good than great. They have already acquired recent games through which they’ve only scored 28, 12, 24 points. And these activities weren’t against Kansas Saint. or Michigan. That they ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

To put it succinctly that will this is still some sort of close video game to call. But what I look intended for is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s no reason to think WVU can’t hold them to often the low to middle 20’s. My honest advice is usually to lay off this specific game and not guarantee at all. There are better activities this weekend break with more clear-cut strengths.

The final score in this game was Louisville 44, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to gain a good punt for the TD. The bottom line was that will West Virginia’s border had not been so big which they may possibly still win after making so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this specific game, people critical with regards to sports betting saved money they can offer better work with on coming games.