Sports playing are often very profitable if you know the secrets often the “smart money” bettors employ to consistently make income. One of the biggest secrets that intelligent money bettors use is knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a best example of this. I analyzed the particular Western Florida vs. www.ufabet168.info , and concluded that West Florida had this edge in the video game. Nonetheless I actually also recognized that there have been a lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to my clients that they perform not gamble on this specific game. Here is our analysis I released in advance of the game:

West Va or Louisville

This video game provides all the signs of being one of the very best games regarding the year, having both teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, both using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, along with Western Virginia coming back from getting down big in the fourth quarter to winning in overtime, however,.

So what’s the action seem like this year?

In case this game were being played from a good basic field, West California would certainly probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since the particular game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented move. Many people haven’t lost due to the fact April. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they missing to Florida Tech. Through the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their final 10 ROUTE games.

All these are some very remarkable stats that tilt the particular scales in favor involving WVU to get tonight’s gaming. Plus, the additional added bonus is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This may not seem to be like substantially, but in a in close proximity match-up similar to this, that spare point will certainly make the big difference between a new push and even a loss.

But what about Louisville?

Louisville’s figures may be almost as good because WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their particular past 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS within their final 10 home games.

Together with if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t lost at your home since Dec 20, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. 5 points each game at home, while hitting only stopping 15. 7 points for each game on home. In case a person didn’t do the math concepts, that means due to the fact their own last home loss they also have averaged beating their very own adversaries simply by about 34 items per game.

Even greater extraordinary, the average line in these games has only recently been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten the divide, on average, by simply 13 points per game at home considering the year 2003.

Wow… how can a person not in favor of that?

Here’s how…

Nearly all of those stats have been accumulated during the 2004 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to excellent than great. They have already got recent games through which they are yet to only scored 36, 3, 24 points. These activities weren’t against Iowa Stycken. or Michigan. They ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

To put it succinctly that will this is still some sort of close game to get in touch with. Although what I look to get is West Virginia’s protection to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s zero reason to think WVU can’t have one to typically the low to mid 20’s. My honest advice is usually to lay off this specific game and definitely not guess at all. There happen to be better activities this weekend with more simple rewards.

The final score on this game was Louisville forty four, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to return a new punt for some sort of TD. The bottom line was the fact that West Virginia’s edge wasn’t so big they will could very well still win after building so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this specific game, people significant about wagering saved money they can put to better employ on coming games.