Sports betting can be very profitable if you know the secrets the particular “smart money” bettors work with to consistently make money. One of the primary secrets that sensible money bettors use is definitely knowing when NOT for you to bet.

Here’s a perfect case in point. I actually analyzed this Western Las vegas vs. Louisville game, and concluded the fact that West California had the edge in the sport. Nevertheless , My spouse and i also noticed that there are a whole lot of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not bet on this particular game. Here is the analysis I released just before the game:

West Las vegas or Louisville

This sport provides all the symptoms of being one regarding the best games involving the year, together with both equally teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, each together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, along with Western world Virginia coming rear from becoming down big in the fourth 1 / 4 to winning around overtime.

So what’s the game look like this year?

If this match were turning into played on the fairly neutral field, West Va might probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since often the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is on an unprecedented move. Many people haven’t lost due to the fact Oct. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they dropped to California Tech. Through the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last dokuz games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 STREET games.

These types of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt this scales in favor regarding WVU for tonight’s game. Plus, this additional bonus offer is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This might not seem to be like very much, but in a in close proximity match-up this way, that extra point will certainly make the distinction between a new push in addition to a loss.

But you may be wondering what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s stats are really almost as good while WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville in the point spread. In his or her very last 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home activities.

Plus if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t missing at your home since Dec 20, 2003! During this latest run Louisville is hitting 49. five points for each game at home, while averaging only quitting 15. 8 points each game at home. In case you don’t do the mathmatical, that means since their particular last home loss they have already averaged beating their very own oppositions by about 34 points per game.

Even greater impressive, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. แทงบาคาร่า means Louisville has beaten typically the get spread around, on average, by 13 factors per game at home considering the year 2003.

Wow… how can an individual go against that?

Here’s just how…

The majority of those stats were accumulated during the june 2006 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to good than great. They’ve acquired recent games where they already have only scored 28, twenty-three, 24 points. That video games weren’t against Oh St. or Michigan. Many people were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.

In essence the fact that this is still a close video game to phone. Yet the things i look with regard to is West Virginia’s safety to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s virtually no cause to think WVU can’t have one to often the low to core 20’s. My honest suggestion will be to lay off that game and certainly not bet at all. There are better video games this saturday and sunday with more clear-cut positive aspects.

The final score with this game was Louisville 44, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to gain a new punt for a new TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s edge has not been so big they will can still win right after making so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this kind of video game, people really serious concerning gambling saved money that they can put to better apply on upcoming games.