Sports bets can be quite profitable if an individual know the techniques the “smart money” gamblers employ to consistently make cash. Most significant secrets that clever money gamblers use can be knowing when NOT to help bet.

Here’s a great example of this. We analyzed often the West Virginia vs. Louisville sport, and concluded the fact that West California had the particular edge in the match. However , We also recognized that there have been a whole lot of random and unknown factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not bet on this game. Here is the analysis I released ahead of the game:

West Va or Louisville

This activity offers all the signs of being one regarding the ideal games involving the year, together with both teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, together with Western side Virginia coming rear from appearing down big in the next one fourth to winning throughout overtime.

So what’s the sport appear like this year?

In the event this game were turning into played at a natural field, West Florida would certainly probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since this game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

บาคาร่า can be on an unprecedented rotate. They will haven’t lost considering March. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they shed to Las vegas Tech. In the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 PATH games.

These kind of are some very outstanding stats that tilt the particular scales in favor connected with WVU regarding tonight’s gaming. Plus, often the added in benefit is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This will likely not look like significantly, but in a close up match-up similar to this, that excess point will certainly make the difference between the push in addition to a loss.

But some of us wonder what with regards to Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics may be almost as good as WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their particular final 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS inside their final 10 home activities.

Plus if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t missing at home since January 17, the year 2003! During this existing run Louisville is averaging 49. some points for every game in your house, while averaging only giving up 15. seven points each game in home. In case an individual decided not to do the math, that means given that their own last home reduction they’ve averaged beating their particular opposing team by about 34 factors per game.

Even greater outstanding, the average line during these games has only already been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten this pass on, on average, by way of 13 factors per activity at home since 2003.

Wow… how can a person go against that?

Here’s the way…

Nearly all of those stats ended up piled up during the july 2004 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to very good than great. They are yet to experienced recent games through which they also have only scored 28, 12, 24 points. These types of video games weren’t against Kentkucky E. or Michigan. That they were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

In essence that will this is still a close game to call up. Nonetheless the things i look for is West Virginia’s defense to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s zero reason to think WVU can’t have one to typically the low to middle 20’s. My honest recommendation is to lay off this kind of game and certainly not wager at all. There are usually better games this saturday and sunday with more clear-cut rewards.

The final score in this game was Louisville forty four, West California 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to go back a good punt for a good TD. The results was that West Virginia’s edge was not so big which they can still win soon after making so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this kind of match, people critical concerning wagering saved money these people can offer better work with on future games.