A Period of time of Adjustment
Oops! That giant hissing audio is the gaming balloon that experienced been developing over the years, gradually getting rid of air. But, it has not been a tide that reduced all ships nevertheless, as some rising and growing gaming jurisdictions showed robust progress in 2008.
Total, the business and racetrack on line casino sectors (excluding Indian gaming), skilled a three.5 p.c decrease in gaming revenues for 2008, generating a whole of $36.2 billion, down some $800 million from 2007. It was the Racino sector that has tempered this drop, as they confirmed a acquire of almost $one billion in 2008, therefore bringing the Commercial sector industry decrease to $1.8 billion, or six.seven percent. Nevada was the greatest loser in 2008, dropping virtually $1.three billion, far more than half of which stemmed from the Las Vegas Strip segment.
Hunkering Down
For the most part, casino operators were caught fairly flat-footed by the extent of the 2008 profits downturn, as it was not until the third and fourth quarters when it genuinely nosedived. Using the crest of 12 months more than 12 months marketplace progress across the nation and the availability of ample credit score and fairness cash, new building and expansion proliferated in modern years. Nowadays, confronted with the realities of declining, or at greatest stagnant need, numerous of these tasks are now regarded as above-leveraged and/or more than-sized. As a result many gaming organizations are trying to renegotiate their personal debt – made far more challenging by decrease valuations – even though also paring down operational fees. The latter has turn out to be a quite problematic conundrum when working with the competitors, specially in people jurisdictions that are now vying for industry shares with new rising on line casino projects in neighboring locations. A topic we talk about a lot more totally in the Point out by Point out examination area of this publication.
As a outcome of these problems the gaming sector landscape is now strewn with impending fatalities. Amongst the far more notable troubled companies are Station Casinos, Empire Resorts, Harrah’s Entertainment, Greektown Holdings, Legends Gaming, Tropicana Entertainment, Herbst Gaming and the record grows every week.
“How long will these economic circumstances persist, and are we at the base but?” are concerns no 1 appears to be answering but. What is very clear nonetheless is that most gaming jurisdictions will have to find out how to deal with a smaller sized pie.
Observe:
This analysis involves only gaming revenues of licensed casinos and pari-mutuel retailers that provide on line casino games, and not Indian gaming functions, card rooms, or little non-on line casino variety slot locations. The entire post, like earnings tables is obtainable on our web web page.
Enter/Output Product
A crucial facet that would seem to have arisen from the ashes of this existing pattern is that a lot of casino initiatives were just also big to assist by themselves. The input, in conditions of expenditure dollars, was not proportional to the output, in terms of net income soon after credit card debt service, compared to previously accomplished results. Far more and/or larger is not constantly far better. Viewing the rise in non-gaming earnings at the Las Vegas Strip resorts, gave impetus to the advancement of far more complete amenities in a lot of other jurisdictions. The flaw in this approach even so is that the expenses related with widening market penetration and occasioned-use, are significantly greater than those incurred to attract the foundation market place.
As daytripper markets grow to be a lot more competitive, on line casino venues will have to rely much more and far more on their in-property resort patrons, and dimension their qualities (and anticipations) appropriately. Although Steve Wynn started a main craze in making up-market mega-destinations, there just was not enough need on the Strip to warrant the a lot of other equivalent initiatives that adopted that aimed at the exact same area of interest.
The trick is to strike a satisfied medium in task configurations which of system need considerably less of a ‘seat-of-pants’ approach, and one particular that is more examined. A shameless plug for advancement consultants like ourselves.
Other Gaming Actions
Even though there are no released detailed info of American Indian gaming revenues, anecdotal proof appears to propose that this phase has been as challenging strike as the Commercial sector. The two Connecticut Indian gaming installations report slot earnings of $one.6 billion in 2008, representing a drop of about 7 per cent, or nearly $114 million, more than doubling the 3.five % fall from the yr prior to. This industry is seemingly nevertheless reeling from the ripple-impact of a on line casino growth in Rhode Island, and the opening of slot operations in New York and Pennsylvania.
The Arizona Department of Gaming stories that contributions dependent on a gaming revenue system from the state’s 23 Indian gaming casinos, have been declining every quarter in 2008 in comparison to the preceding yr reducing .8 p.c in the first quarter, 7.five percent in the 2nd quarter, 9.5 percent in the 3rd quarter, and sixteen.one percent in the fourth quarter.
Some SEC reporting Indian gaming qualities report comparable decreases. Seneca Gaming, which operates three Class III casinos in upstate New York, stories that although calendar 12 months 2008 confirmed an practically 2 percent progress price in gaming revenues, there was an eight.seven % drop in the 3rd quarter and an virtually ten p.c decrease in the fourth quarter of 2008, in comparison with 2007. Gaming revenue traits at close by Niagara Falls, Ontario ended up down 1.5% in 2008 when compared with 2007.
It truly is been a blended-bag for state lotteries throughout the country. The North American Affiliation of Condition & Provincial Lotteries reports that U.S. lotteries created a overall of $60.six billion in product sales in fiscal 2008, up about 3 percent from the earlier year nevertheless some jurisdictions documented decreases, most notably California, which showed an 8 p.c fall. Inasmuch as some of these states are on a variety of fiscal calendar year ends, it would seem that the information does not replicate the influence of third and/or fourth quarter final results.
According to data provided by Equibase, horse racing pari-mutuel revenues carry on their downward spiral, slipping 7 p.c to $13.seven billion in 2008, compared to $14.seven billion in 2007.
Prepared & Proposed New Expansions
As previously mentioned, it has been new gaming jurisdictions that have spawned a lot of the expansion in yearly on line casino/racino revenues more than the a long time, and their influence is apt to keep on into the near foreseeable future.
Florida
Miami Dade voters approved a ballot concern that permits each and every of three pari-mutuels to have a casino facility of up to two,000 slot equipment. The Flagler Dog Keep track of and Miami Jai-Alai are reportedly arranging opening in late 2009 or early 2010, even though the Calder installation in Miami Gardens has nevertheless to introduced its plans. There are numerous other proposals getting regarded that would further increase on line casino improvement through the state.
Illinois
The state finally received about to reissuing its tenth license, late in December, 2008 awarding it to Midwest Gaming & Amusement, LLC for a one,two hundred+ recreation on line casino positioned in Des Plaines just east of O’Hare. The new facility is not most likely to open right up until 2010. There has also been some dialogue about making it possible for an increase in for each spot gaming positions and slots at racetracks, despite the fact that neither initiative appears to have any traction at this time.
Kansas
The state’s expanded lottery software that allows for the development of 4 casino gaming zones and slots at present horse and canine tracks appears mired, as only one particular facility is presently under construction, even though 3 other proposals ended up rescinded. The only bidder on the Cherokee County agreement, claimed it could not contend with the new Quapaw tribal on line casino in Oklahoma, which is positioned so close to the state line that its parking great deal is in Kansas. The Boot Hill On line casino Resort in Dodge Town is planing a December 2009 opening with 575 slots and 10 table online games, along with a second phase because of to open in 2011 with 875 slots and 20 desk online games. The point out has extended the application approach for the other a few zones until April, 2009.
Kentucky
There is still a whole lot of ‘jockeying’ likely on, but the prospect of as several as 8 slot parlors and racinos appears to be again on the front-burner, but likely not settled in the course of the recent legislative session.
Las Vegas
There are about 14,000 rooms scheduled to come on line in 2009, with the most current getting the 390 room M Resort in Henderson. There are expansions underway at each Caesars Palace and Tough Rock and new lodges contain two components of the Metropolis Middle task, and the Fountainebleau.
Louisiana
Pinnacle Entertainment’s new on line casino improvement tasks in Baton Rouge and Lake Charles, whilst delayed, are reported to even now be on-observe for opening this calendar year and/or early 2010.
Maine
There is a bill under thing to consider that could far more than double Penn National’s slot equipment to 3,000, as effectively as a proposal that would take away the restriction that slots be found within five miles of the monitor. Scarborough Downs, which has been unsuccessful in convincing neighborhood inhabitants to enable slots, may be taking into consideration moving to a much more hospitable city.
Maryland
A referendum was approved in November, 2008 that enables for the improvement of 5 casinos with a total of 15,000 slots, and now the bidding war is afoot though it is not as extreme as the state had predicted.
Mississippi
Grand Soleil On line casino Vacation resort in Natchez had been slated to open up in 2008, but has operate into a variety of financing issues and although the hotel part is open up, the riverboat is noted to open in the Spring of ’09. Harrah’s Margaritaville On line casino in Biloxi, even though scaled back considerably, is still on track to open this calendar year.
New England
Massachusetts, a sleeping-huge in conditions of market likely, is nevertheless maneuvering to open casinos/racinos, and/or a Course III Indian gaming facility, but are not able to look to muster the political assistance. A current study accomplished by Dartmouth College estimates that Massachusetts resident expended more than $920 million previous calendar year at Connecticut casinos and slot machine parlors in Rhode Island and Maine. The New Hampshire legislature not too long ago declined an alternative to create casinos, even so the matter is likely to be revisited, specifically if Massachusetts decides to go forward. There are also attempts in Maine to reconsider its choices.
New Jersey
Atlantic City’s casinos have imposed their political will on staving off the addition of slot devices at racetracks by recently agreeing to continue augmenting purses with an extra tax. The governor nevertheless, has appointed a new panel to examine the state’s sagging racing system which ironically, can only be preserved by permitting the tracks to have slot devices specially at the Meadowlands. (See The Nor’easter Squeeze area)
New York
Just when it appeared as if Aqueduct’s four,500 VLT facility would lastly be created, the successful bidder indicated an incapacity to make the essential $370 million charge, citing the present lending climate, and throwing the task again into the lap of the governor. Despite the fact that the industry demand from customers in the area could be regarded as fairly strong, the prospect of extra competitiveness from close by Belmont could have an influence on Aqueduct’s underlining economic feasibility, specifically taking into consideration that slightly significantly less than thirty% of the web win is retained by the operator.
Ideas to relocate Monticello Raceway into a resort complicated are currently being reconsidered probably owing to both the probable opening of at the very least a single or possibly two racino functions in the NY metro region, and the resurfacing of initiatives to advancement a Class III Indian gaming facility in the Catskills.
Ohio
But an additional gaming proposal is getting put forth in Ohio, soon after final year’s version was turned down by the voters. This prepare calls for a single on line casino every single in the state’s premier metropolitan areas: Cleveland, Columbus, Cincinnati and Toledo. There would be a least investment decision needed of $250 million, as nicely as an preliminary licensing fee of $50 million, and a 33 p.c tax on gaming profits.
Pennsylvania
The Sands in Bethlehem is owing to open up in the Spring of ’09, and the new Rivers venture in Pittsburgh is expected to be operational in August, ’09 even though Philadelphia’s two slot services even now wallow in a political mire, but are expected to commence design this calendar year.
South Dakota
The Lodge at Deadwood is slated to open up in the Slide of 2009, and incorporate three hundred games, a hundred and forty rooms and a broad range of facilities.
Texas
Legislators are proposing a voter referendum that would amend the point out structure to let on line casino gambling in selected locations, as properly as permit gambling on American Indian lands in Texas and at current racetracks.
https://floorballontario.com , the state’s venerable vacation resort facility has submitted for individual bankruptcy, but has a new suitor in Marriott Lodges, who have reportedly tendered an offer you. Point out govt has proffered the idea of permitting the vacation resort to supply casino game titles, but this work is in too early a stage to have any traction a single way or one more.
Indian Gaming
A recent Supreme Courtroom ruling that restricts the using of lands into have confidence in on behalf of federally recognized American Indian tribes has further stymied some new Course III gaming projects across the country. Furthermore, there ended up eleven Indian on line casino initiatives turned down by the DOI last calendar year because of its new rule that casinos must be near adequate to a reservation that tribal customers can operate at them. It has been advised that the new Obama administration may well be a lot more sympathetic to the improvement of Indian gaming initiatives, but this problem has yet to be tackled.
In the meantime, there are other Class III tasks in the different phases of development. The Seneca casino venture in Buffalo, NY, even though working a tiny short-term facility, has delayed an currently below design long term facility till the marketplace rebounds. They have also expressed an fascination in building a on line casino in the Catskills. The condition gaming compact with Seminoles in Florida is being challenged, and could impact their plans for larger assignments. There are new Indian gaming projects established to open in Michigan and Oklahoma this 12 months, and other folks are in the preparing stage. Texas might let the reopening of Indian gaming amenities and permit other venue and there are strategies afoot by the Navajos in Arizona to construct further casinos. California is poised to open two to a few new Class III casinos in 2009/10.
The Nor’easter Squeeze
Whole gaming income in Atlantic City has declined 7.six per cent, from $four.nine billion in 2007 to $four.five billion in 2008 with decreases continuing into 2009, as the metropolis is obtaining alone in an powerful comp-war with the Pennsylvania venues. At one particular time the only casinos in the Northeast ended up found in Atlantic Town, in which it looked as if it may actually even eclipse the Las Vegas Strip’s annual gaming revenues.
Little by little nevertheless its marketplace share was becoming encroached on, very first by the development of a massive Class III gaming procedure in Connecticut, and then an additional slots operations in Rhode Island, and then video clip lottery terminals at New York racetracks, racinos in West Virginia and Delaware, and most just lately Pennsylvania.
Now, with the planned opening of slot functions in Maryland, the impending opening of a new on line casino in Bethlehem, PA, and eventually two functions in Philadelphia, the noose is tightening about Atlantic City’s foreseeable future prospects. It truly is reliance on day-trippers lulled it into a false sense of protection, and it now finds alone possessing to redefine its mission assertion to “spot vacation resort.”
The only issue with this strategy even so is that it is sick-geared up to pull it off. For all intents and needs, Atlantic City is below-roomed and/or over-gamed. There is simply not adequate working day-tripper market to go close to, and their effective buying and selling location is tightening, as the peripheral populations northward now/will have much more prepared accessibility to a widened provide in New York (Yonkers, and soon at Aqueduct and perhaps Belmont), westward in Pennsylvania and southward in Delaware, West Virginia and Maryland.
Other than the ocean entry, the city’s only genuine competitive rewards are its resort capability and the availability of desk video games, though the latter is probably to eventuate in Pennsylvania, and potentially Delaware. In get to adequately contend as a destination vacation resort the metropolis needs to build further visitor rooms and not automatically gaming potential. By comparison, the Las Vegas Strip properties – accurate gaming places, in that they do not have significantly of a working day-excursion market place, other than for the ‘locals’ – have an average of .87 gaming positions for each guest place although Atlantic City’s average is two.74 positions for each guest area.
It is not a coincidence that Atlantic City’s two premier resorts, the Borgata and Harrah’s Marina, equally of which additional new rooms in 2008, had been the minimum impacted by the most current downturn. The Borgata experienced a gaming profits fall of one.6 p.c, even though Harrah’s Marina reported a four.9 percent increase in comparison to 2007. Additionally, the most difficult strike venues, particularly the AC Hilton, Resorts and the Trump Marina, also have the smallest variety of rooms. In the meantime some of the venues are teetering on viability, which includes the the Trump homes and Resorts with the hoped for sale of the Tropicana has been even more delayed, and dropping valuation.
With a steady increase in gaming revenues by way of 2006, the town seemed key for more growth, which precipitated arranging for four new resort assignments, every single of which have now been indefinitely delayed. Revel Entertainment Group’s $two.5 billion undertaking stays an iron skeleton, Pinnacle Entertainment has announced it may possibly find to market its razed Sands website, MGM Mirage has shelved its on line casino plans, and Penn National appears to have stopped its pursuit of the Bader Subject airport site.
